GDP growth% y/y
1.4
2026 Q2+0.3 pp vs prior
Latest information view
Inspect a retained snapshot across forecasts, indicators and scenarios.
Last refreshed 20 Oct 2026 · 16:52 UTC+3
Finland · Macro overview
Headline inflation% y/y
2.7
Sept 2026+0.2 pp vs prior
Unemployment%
9.9
Aug 2026-0.6 pp vs prior
Consumer confidencebalance
-5.1
Sept 2026-1.7 pts vs prior
10-year bond yield%
3.8
Sept 2026+0.3 pp vs prior
GDP growth
Real output, year-on-year · %
ObservedSG-LassoShaded: indicative 80% range
| Target period | Estimate | 80% range | Revision, pp |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3Awaiting GDP release | 2.2% | 0.9 to 3.6 | -0.1 |
| 2026Q4Current period | 1.7% | 0.0 to 3.5 | 0.0 |
| 2027Q1Next period | 2.2% | 0.3 to 4.1 | 0.0 |
Consumer price inflation
HICP, year-on-year · %
ObservedSG-LassoShaded: indicative 80% range
| Target period | Estimate | 80% range | Revision, pp |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10Current period | 2.2% | 1.6 to 2.7 | 0.0 |
| 2026-11Next period | 2.1% | 1.6 to 2.7 | 0.0 |
| 2026-122 months ahead | 2.1% | 1.6 to 2.7 | 0.0 |
| 2027-013 months ahead | 2.1% | 1.5 to 2.8 | 0.0 |
Activity monitor
Latest observations and scheduled source releases
| Indicator | Period | Latest | Change, pts | Next release / decision | Recent observations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industrial production% y/y | May 2026 | 0.6 | -2.0 | 16 Nov 2026 | |
| Retail sales volume% y/y | Aug 2026 | 3.6 | +1.5 | 6 Nov 2026 | |
| Construction output volume% y/y | Aug 2026 | 12.9 | -1.8 | 19 Nov 2026 | |
| Industrial confidencebalance | Sept 2026 | 3.5 | -0.7 | 29 Oct 2026 | |
| Services confidencebalance | Sept 2026 | 13.5 | -2.3 | 29 Oct 2026 | |
| Construction confidencebalance | Sept 2026 | -3.5 | +4.5 | 29 Oct 2026 | |
| Consumer confidencebalance | Sept 2026 | -5.1 | -1.7 | 29 Oct 2026 | |
| Unemployment% | Aug 2026 | 9.9 | -0.6 | 30 Oct 2026 | |
| ECB deposit facility rate% p.a. | 17 Oct 2026 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 29 Oct 2026 |
Source: Eurostat, ECFIN and ECB statistics. The ECB date is its next monetary-policy decision. National publications and warehouse updates may occur separately.
Regional comparison
Latest observed value · period shown below
| Indicator | Finland | Euro area |
|---|---|---|
| GDP, % y/y | 1.42026 Q2 | 0.92026 Q2 |
| HICP, % y/y | 2.7Sept 2026 | 3.8Sept 2026 |
| Unemployment, % | 9.9Aug 2026 | 6.4Aug 2026 |
ECONOMIC REPORT 03 OCT 2026
Recovery continues. Domestic demand lags.
Exports support growth, but quarterly momentum has slowed and household spending is flat. A stronger annual forecast coexists with uneven demand and rising financing costs.
Read reportDated edition · retains its original information cutoff