GDP growth% y/y
0.9
2026 Q2+0.5 pp vs prior
Latest information view
Inspect a retained snapshot across forecasts, indicators and scenarios.
Last refreshed 20 Oct 2026 · 16:52 UTC+3
Euro area · Macro overview
Headline inflation% y/y
3.8
Sept 2026+0.5 pp vs prior
Unemployment%
6.4
Aug 20260.0 pp vs prior
Consumer confidencebalance
-13.1
Dec 2025 · older input-0.3 pts vs prior
10-year bond yield%
3.9
Sept 2026+0.3 pp vs prior
GDP growth
Real output, year-on-year · %
ObservedSG-LassoShaded: indicative 80% range
| Target period | Estimate | 80% range | Revision, pp |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3Awaiting GDP release | 0.9% | -0.6 to 2.5 | 0.0 |
| 2026Q4Current period | 1.4% | -0.8 to 3.6 | 0.0 |
| 2027Q1Next period | 1.6% | 0.1 to 3.0 | 0.0 |
Consumer price inflation
HICP, year-on-year · %
ObservedSG-LassoShaded: indicative 80% range
| Target period | Estimate | 80% range | Revision, pp |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10Current period | 2.6% | 2.1 to 3.1 | 0.0 |
| 2026-11Next period | 2.6% | 2.1 to 3.1 | 0.0 |
| 2026-122 months ahead | 2.5% | 1.7 to 3.4 | 0.0 |
| 2027-013 months ahead | 2.2% | 1.2 to 3.2 | 0.0 |
Activity monitor
Latest observations and scheduled source releases
| Indicator | Period | Latest | Change, pts | Next release / decision | Recent observations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industrial production% y/y | May 2026 | -1.2 | -1.6 | 16 Nov 2026 | |
| Retail sales volume% y/y | Aug 2026 | 0.9 | +0.1 | 6 Nov 2026 | |
| Construction output volume% y/y | Jul 2026 | -2.4 | -0.6 | 19 Nov 2026 | |
| Industrial confidencebalance | Dec 2025 | -9.0 | +0.3 | 29 Oct 2026 | |
| Services confidencebalance | Dec 2025 | 5.6 | -0.2 | 29 Oct 2026 | |
| Construction confidencebalance | Dec 2025 | -1.3 | +0.3 | 29 Oct 2026 | |
| Consumer confidencebalance | Dec 2025 | -13.1 | -0.3 | 29 Oct 2026 | |
| Unemployment% | Aug 2026 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 30 Oct 2026 | |
| ECB deposit facility rate% p.a. | 17 Oct 2026 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 29 Oct 2026 |
Source: Eurostat, ECFIN and ECB statistics. The ECB date is its next monetary-policy decision. National publications and warehouse updates may occur separately.
Regional comparison
Latest observed value · period shown below
| Indicator | Finland | Euro area |
|---|---|---|
| GDP, % y/y | 1.42026 Q2 | 0.92026 Q2 |
| HICP, % y/y | 2.7Sept 2026 | 3.8Sept 2026 |
| Unemployment, % | 9.9Aug 2026 | 6.4Aug 2026 |
ECONOMIC REPORT 03 OCT 2026
Growth rebounds. Inflation tests resilience.
The GDP rebound is led by net exports, with Irish volatility amplifying the aggregate. Household consumption grows, but rising energy inflation raises the financing hurdle.
Read reportDated edition · retains its original information cutoff